2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
November 3, 2020
Turnout77.4% Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 2,758,775 2,684,292
Percentage 49.93% 48.59%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Polls of the state throughout the campaign indicated a close race, with most organizations considering it either a tossup or leaning towards Biden. Despite this, Trump ultimately won North Carolina by a 1.34% margin over Biden, making him only the second Republican incumbent ever to carry North Carolina and lose re-election after George H. W. Bush. This was Trump's narrowest victory in any state, and it was a closer result than his 3.67% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Mitt Romney's 2.04% margin over Barack Obama in 2012. North Carolina was the only state in the 2020 election in which Donald Trump won with under 50% of the vote.[lower-alpha 1] In the 2020 election, North Carolina was 5.8% right of the nation as a whole. The state last voted Democratic in 2008 and furthermore, it had last voted more Republican than neighboring Georgia in 2000.

The rural-urban divide was even more prevalent this election than in past elections. Biden carried eight of North Carolina's ten largest counties (losing only the Charlotte-area suburban counties of Union and Gaston), and overperformed Obama's 2008 margin in the six largest: Wake (Raleigh), Mecklenburg (Charlotte), Guilford (Greensboro), Forsyth (Winston-Salem), Durham (Durham), and Buncombe (Asheville), in which he received 62%, 67%, 61%, 56%, 80%, and 60% of the vote, respectively.[3] Biden furthermore became the first Democrat to carry New Hanover County, home of Wilmington, since 1976. He also flipped Nash County, which had last voted for Obama in 2012, before switching to Trump in 2016, back to the Democratic column. Biden held Trump to a single-digit margin in the Charlotte-area suburban county of Cabarrus, the first time since 1976 that the Republican margin in this county has been less than 10%.

Conversely, Trump held or outperformed his 2016 margin in Robeson, Bladen, Martin, Granville and Gates counties, all counties that had been reliably Democratic in the 20th century and which had voted for Obama twice before flipping to Trump in 2016. Biden thereby became the first Democrat ever to win the presidency without Robeson County, the largest county in the Lumber River region of the state and the county which had given Jimmy Carter his largest raw vote margin in the state in both 1976 and 1980. Trump picked off neighboring Scotland County, one of only 15 counties he flipped nationally, becoming the first Republican to carry it since Ronald Reagan in 1984 and making Biden the first Democrat to win without Scotland since the county's creation in 1899. Biden also became the first Democrat to win the White House without Granville and Gates counties since Grover Cleveland in 1892, the first since Cleveland in 1884 to win without Bladen County, the first since James Buchanan in 1856 to win without Richmond County and the first ever to win without Martin County.

Trump's victory was, alongside his victory (and actual improvement over 2016) in Florida, one of the upsets of the cycle. Election data website FiveThirtyEight's election forecast had Biden up in both states,[4] albeit by small margins. Similarly, prediction websites Inside Elections, Sabato Crystal Ball, The Economist, and ABC News all had Biden favored in the state.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were held on March 3, 2020 (first cases of COVID-19), for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Despite speculation that he might seek the Democratic nomination, Roy Cooper, the Governor of North Carolina, declined to run.[5][6]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary § NCresults.[edit]
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—<30%
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
2020 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary[7]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates[8]
Joe Biden 572,271 42.95 68
Bernie Sanders 322,645 24.22 37
Michael Bloomberg 172,558 12.95 3
Elizabeth Warren 139,912 10.50 2
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] 43,632 3.27
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] 30,742 2.31
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] 10,679 0.80
Tulsi Gabbard 6,622 0.50
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,973 0.22
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,181 0.16
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,978 0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,341 0.10
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,243 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,098 0.08
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 699 0.05
No Preference 21,808 1.64
Total 1,332,382 100% 110

Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican Party submitted to the state only the name of incumbent President Donald Trump to be listed on the primary ballot. The campaign of Bill Weld "has written to the [state Board of Elections] asking to be added to the ballot, arguing that his candidacy meets the legal test because he’s received 'widespread news coverage,' raised more than $1.2 million, and has qualified for the primary ballot in six other states," according to the News and Observer.[9] Joe Walsh similarly petitioned the state board of elections. On Dec. 20, 2019, the state board unanimously voted to include both Weld and Walsh on the ballot.[10]

2020 North Carolina Republican presidential primary[11]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates[12]
Donald Trump 750,600 93.53 71
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 16,356 2.04 0
Bill Weld 15,486 1.93 0
No Preference 20,085 2.50
Total 802,527 100% 71

Libertarian primary

2020 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary
March 3, 2020
 
Candidate None of the above Jacob Hornberger John McAfee
Home state N/A Virginia Tennessee
Popular vote 2,060 604 570
Percentage 45.2% 13.3% 12.5%
 
Candidate Kim Ruff
(withdrawn)		 Vermin Supreme Ken Armstrong
Home state Arizona Massachusetts Oregon
Popular vote 545 410 366
Percentage 12% 9% 8%
Election results by county
  None of the above
  Kim Ruff
  Vermin Supreme
  Ken Armstrong
  Jo Jorgensen
  Steve Richey
  Dan Behrman
  Jedidiah Hill
  Tie
  No votes
North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020[13]
Candidate Votes Percentage
None of the above 2,060 30%
Jacob Hornberger 604 9%
John McAfee 570 8%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 545 8%
Vermin Supreme 410 6%
Ken Armstrong 366 5%
Jo Jorgensen 316 5%
Steve Richey 278 4%
Adam Kokesh 240 3%
Max Abramson 236 3%
James Ogle 232 3%
Kenneth Blevins 199 3%
Dan Behrman 194 3%
Jedidiah Hill 194 3%
Souraya Faas 193 3%
Erik Gerhardt 150 2%
Arvin Vohra 127 2%
Total 6,914 100%

Green primary

2020 North Carolina Green Party presidential primary[14][15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Howie Hawkins 247 60.54%
Green No Preference 161 39.46%
Total votes 408 100%

Constitution primary

2020 North Carolina Constitution Party presidential primary[14][16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution No Preference 193 44.57%
Constitution Don Blankenship 128 29.56%
Constitution Charles Kraut 112 25.87%
Total votes 438 100%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[17] Tossup
Inside Elections[18] Tilt D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Lean D (flip)
Politico[20] Tossup
RCP[21] Tossup
Niskanen[22] Tossup
CNN[23] Tossup
The Economist[24] Lean D (flip)
CBS News[25] Tossup
270towin[26] Tossup
ABC News[27] Lean D (flip)
NPR[28] Tossup
NBC News[29] Tossup
FiveThirtyEight[30] Lean D (flip)

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
270 to Win October 31 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.8% 47.5% 4.7% Biden +0.3
Real Clear Politics October 26 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 47.6% 47.8% 4.6% Trump +0.2
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.9% 47.1% 4.0% Biden +1.8
Average 48.1% 47.5% 4.4% Biden +0.6

June 1 – October 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Howie
Hawkins
Green		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 5,363 (LV) ± 2% 48%[lower-alpha 5] 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 473 (LV) ± 4.51% 47% 49% 2% 1% – 1%
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 5.3% 46% 52% 1% 0% – –
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 707 (LV) ± 4.2% 48%[lower-alpha 6] 49% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 7] –
48%[lower-alpha 8] 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 9] 1%
48%[lower-alpha 10] 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] –
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 50% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 12] –
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[upper-alpha 1] Oct 30–31, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 51% - - – –
AtlasIntel Oct 30–31, 2020 812 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% - - 3% –
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 2] Oct 30–31, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 44% 2% - – 7%
Emerson College Oct 29–31, 2020 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 47%[lower-alpha 13] 47% - - 6%[lower-alpha 14] –
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 1,982 (LV) ± 2% 48% 49% - - – –
CNN/SSRS Oct 23–30, 2020 901 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 51% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 15] 1%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 28–29, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] –
Trafalgar Group Oct 27–29, 2020 1,082 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 47% 3% - 1%[lower-alpha 16] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 26–29, 2020 1,489 (LV) – 47% 49% 2% 0% 0% 2%
Harvard-Harris/The Hill Oct 26–29, 2020 903 (LV) – 48% 49% - - – 3%
East Carolina University Oct 27–28, 2020 1,103 (LV) ± 3.4% 48%[lower-alpha 13] 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 17] 0%[lower-alpha 18]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ Oct 27–28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 19] 2%
Marist College/NBC Oct 25–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 52% - - 2% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 8,720 (LV) – 47% 52% - - – –
Gravis Marketing Oct 26–27, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 46% 49% - - – 4%
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 3] Oct 26–27, 2020 937 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 51% - - – 3%
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 24–27, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% - - – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 23–27, 2020 1,034 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 48% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 20] 4%[lower-alpha 21]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 21–27, 2020 647 (LV) ± 4.4% 48%[lower-alpha 6] 49% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 22] –
48%[lower-alpha 8] 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 23] 1%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 24–26, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47%[lower-alpha 6] 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
46%[lower-alpha 25] 50% - - 3%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
49%[lower-alpha 26] 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 396 (LV) ± 6.8% 48% 50% 2% 0% – –
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV Oct 23–26, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] 2%
YouGov/UMass Amherst Oct 20–26, 2020 911 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 48% 1% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 27] 2%
Wick Surveys Oct 24–25, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 47% - - – –
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Oct 22–25, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.37% 46% 47% 1% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 28] 6%
YouGov/CBS Oct 20–23, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 51% – – 2%[lower-alpha 29] 0%
Trafalgar Group Oct 20–22, 2020 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 48.8% 46% 2.3% 0.4% 0.8%[lower-alpha 30] 1.7%
Citizen Data Oct 17–20, 2020 1000 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 50% 1% 0.2% 1.3% 3.6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 20–21, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 14–20, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 47%[lower-alpha 6] 49% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 22] –
46%[lower-alpha 8] 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 23] 2%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 1,904 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 50% - - – –
Meredith College Oct 16–19, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 31] 4%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 16–19, 2020 521 (LV)[lower-alpha 32] – 47% 50% - - – –
Data for Progress (D) Oct 15–18, 2020 929 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 48% 1% 1% – 5%
East Carolina University Oct 15–18, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 3.4% 47%[lower-alpha 13] 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 33] 0%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 12–17, 2020 646 (LV) ± 4.5% 48%[lower-alpha 6] 49% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 18] 0%[lower-alpha 34] 1%
48%[lower-alpha 35] 50% - - 0%[lower-alpha 34] 1%
Emerson College Oct 11–14, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%[lower-alpha 13] 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 36] –
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,211 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 36] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 10–13, 2020 994 (LV) – 46%[lower-alpha 32] 49% 1% 0% – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 9–13, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 46% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 37] 8%[lower-alpha 21]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 7–13, 2020 660 (LV) ± 4.3% 48%[lower-alpha 6] 48% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 22] –
47%[lower-alpha 8] 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 9] 3%
Monmouth University Oct 8–11, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 3% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 38] 2%
500 (LV)[lower-alpha 39] 46% 50% - - 2% 2%
500 (LV)[lower-alpha 40] 48% 49% - - 2% 1%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV Oct 8–11, 2020 669 (LV) ± 4.8% 45% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] 3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 2] Oct 7–11, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 48% 2% - 1%[lower-alpha 41] 4%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 7–11, 2020 800 (LV) – 45%[lower-alpha 6] 47% 2% 1% 1% 4%
43%[lower-alpha 25] 49% 2% 1% 1% 4%
47%[lower-alpha 26] 44% 2% 1% 1% 4%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 1,993 (LV) ± 2.2% 46% 50% - - – –
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 1,627 (LV) – 45% 49% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 9–10, 2020 750 (LV) – 42%[lower-alpha 32] 49% 1% 0% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6, 2020 938 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 49% 1% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 42] 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 693 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 47% - - 2%[lower-alpha 23] 3%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–5, 2020 911 (V) – 46% 50% - - – 3%
Data For Progress (D) Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 1,285 (LV) ± 2.7% 44% 51% 2% 0% – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4, 2020 396 (LV) – 47% 49% - - – –
East Carolina University Oct 2–4, 2020 1,232 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 43] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 3,495 (LV) – 46% 52% - - – 2%
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising[upper-alpha 4] Sep 22–28, 2020 822 (V) – 47% 50% - - – –
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[upper-alpha 5] Sep 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 49% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 23–26, 2020 1,097 (LV) ± 2.96% 45% 47% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 44] 6%
YouGov/CBS Sep 22–25, 2020 1,213 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 45] 4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell Sep 18–25, 2020 921 (LV) ± 4.1% 47%[lower-alpha 6] 47% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 46] 2%
49%[lower-alpha 47] 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 48] 2%
Meredith College Sep 18–22, 2020 705 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 46% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 49] 6%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20, 2020 579 (LV) – 46% 48% - - – –
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) Sep 17–20, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.96% 45% 44% 2% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 31] 8%
Emerson College Sep 16–18, 2020 717 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%[lower-alpha 13] 51% - - – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 45% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 20] 8%[lower-alpha 21]
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 9] 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–15, 2020 1,092 (LV) ± 2.97% 45% 47% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 42] 5%
Suffolk University/USA Today Sep 11–14, 2020 500 (LV) – 42.8% 46.2% 4.8% 0.2% 1.8%[lower-alpha 50] 4.2%
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV Sep 10–13, 2020 596 (LV) ± 5.6% 47% 47% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] 5%
CNN/SSRS Sep 9–13, 2020 787 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 49% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 51] 2%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 1,172 (RV) ± 3% 43% 45% - - 4%[lower-alpha 52] 9%
Trafalgar Sep 9–11, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% 47.8% 46.1% 1.6% 0.5% 1.5%[lower-alpha 53] 2.5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 7–8, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 49%[lower-alpha 13] 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 54] –
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 48% - - 1%[lower-alpha 55] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 1,592 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 47%[lower-alpha 56] 48% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6, 2020 442 (LV) – 47% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 57] –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 951 (LV) ± 3.18% 44% 43% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 44] 9%
Monmouth University Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 401 (RV) ± 4.9% 45% 47% 3% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 58] 3%
401 (LV)[lower-alpha 59] 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
401 (LV)[lower-alpha 60] 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
Fox News Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 722 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 50% 1% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 61] 2%
804 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 62] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,914 (LV) – 51% 48% - - – 2%
East Carolina University Aug 29–30, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 47% - - 2%[lower-alpha 11] 3%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 1,567 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 49% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23, 2020 560 (LV) – 47% 48% – – – –
Morning Consult Aug 14–23, 2020 1,541 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 49% – – 1%[lower-alpha 16] 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 16–17, 2020 967 (LV) ± 3.09% 46% 44% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 44] 7%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 1,493 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 46% 49% - - – –
East Carolina University Aug 12–13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 47% – – 3%[lower-alpha 63] 4%
Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 51%[lower-alpha 64] 49% – – – –
Harper Polling/Civitas Aug 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 49] 7%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9, 2020 493 (LV) – 48% 47% – – – –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 2] Aug 6–8, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 48%[lower-alpha 32] 47% – – – –
Data for Progress Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 1,170 (LV) – 45% 49% – – – 6%
44% 46% 2% 1% – 7%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[upper-alpha 6] Jul 30–31, 2020 934 (V) – 46% 49% – – – 6%
YouGov/CBS Jul 28–31, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 48% – – 2%[lower-alpha 65] 5%
HIT Strategies/DFER[upper-alpha 7] Jul 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 47% – – 4%[lower-alpha 66] 10%[lower-alpha 21]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 3,466 (LV) – 50% 49% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26, 2020 284 (LV) – 46% 49% – – – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,504 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 47% – – – –
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[upper-alpha 8] Jul 23–24, 2020 884 (V) – 46% 49% – – – 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 47% 1% – – 4%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–23, 2020 809 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 44% 4% 1% – 11%
Marist College/NBC News Jul 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 51% – – 2% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–21, 2020 919 (LV) – 42% 43% 2% 1% 1% 11%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 9] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 46% – – – 5%
Cardinal Point Analytics Jul 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 48% 1% – – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12, 2020 655 (LV) – 46% 47% – – – –
Public Policy Polling Jul 7–8, 2020 818 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 50% – – – 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,498 (LV) – 49% 49% - - – 1%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28, 2020 468 (LV)[lower-alpha 32] – 44% 51% – – – –
East Carolina University Jun 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 45% – – 7%[lower-alpha 67] 4%
Public Policy Polling Jun 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) – 46% 48% – – – 6%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,012 (RV) ± 3% 45% 47% – – 5%[lower-alpha 68] 3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% 40% 49% – – 4%[lower-alpha 69] 7%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jun 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 43% – – – 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.26% 40% 46% 1% 0% 1% 11%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14, 2020 378 (LV)[lower-alpha 32] – 45% 47% 1% 1% – –
Public Policy Polling Jun 2–3, 2020 913 (V) ± 3.2% 45% 49% – – – 6%

January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31, 2020 806 (LV) – 45% 46% 4% 4%
Harper Polling/Civitas May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 47% 44% – 9%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,403 (LV) – 49% 46% – –
Neighbourhood Research & Media May 12–21, 2020 391 (LV) – 42% 42% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14, 2020 859 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 45% 3%[lower-alpha 70] 8%
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine May 9–13, 2020 500 (RV) – 47% 47% – 6%
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 71] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3% 46% 49% 4%[lower-alpha 72] 2%
Meredith College Apr 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 5%[lower-alpha 73] 7%
SurveyUSA Apr 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.5% 45% 50% – 5%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 10] Apr 20–21, 2020 1,275 (RV) – 46% 49% – 5%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Put NC First (D) Archived April 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Apr 13–18, 2020 800 (LV) – 45% 48% – –
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave Archived May 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Apr 13–16, 2020 500 (LV) – 46% 48% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling Apr 14–15, 2020 1,318 (V) – 47% 48% – 5%
Harper Polling Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% – 9%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 48% – –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 49% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 49% – 6%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 46% – 11%

January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 45% 5% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% – –
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% 4% –[lower-alpha 74]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 35% 20%[lower-alpha 75] 7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 46% 51% – 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 41% 49% – 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% – 11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% – 5%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% – 5%
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 56% – –
Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 11] May 25 – Jun 1, 2019 730 (LV) – 52% 41% – 7%
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 11%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 49% – 7%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8% 1%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 45% –
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 47% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 36% 6% 14%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% – 9%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 45% – 9%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 42% – 14%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 39% 6% 8%
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.4% 46.8% 3.8% –[lower-alpha 74]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 27% 25.1%[lower-alpha 76] 8.9%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 46% – 7%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 41% – 16%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% – 9%
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 52% – –

Donald Trump vs. Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 36% 18% 1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 49.3% 46.9% 3.8% –[lower-alpha 74]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 28.4% 24.8%[lower-alpha 76] 7.7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 47% – 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 44% 43% – 13%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 41% – 12%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 7%
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 49% – –
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 34% 5% 16%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 45% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Undecided
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 46% 12%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 40% 17%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas Institute[upper-alpha 12] Apr 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 40% – 10%
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 43% – –
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,120 (RV) ± 2.4% 46% 48% 1% 5%
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 50% – 5%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 47% – 10%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 45% 4% 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% – –
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 4% –[lower-alpha 74]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 33% 23%[lower-alpha 76] 6%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 47% 50% – 4%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 47% – 10%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% – 10%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% – 5%
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 54% – –
Harper Polling Feb 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 34% 9% 10%
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 48% – 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
East Carolina University Feb 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% – –
SurveyUSA Feb 13–16, 2020 2,366 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% – 8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 675 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 43% – 12%
Fox News Nov 10–13, 2019 1,504 (RV) ± 2.5% 44% 43% 4% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–26, 2019 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 44% – –
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3.0% 48.5% 47.6% 3.9% –[lower-alpha 74]
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 39.1% 33% 20.2%[lower-alpha 76] 7.4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 4–6, 2019 963 (V) ± 3.2% 46% 49% – 5%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 44% – 12%
Harper Polling Aug 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 43% – 11%
Public Policy Polling Jun 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% – 6%
Emerson College Archived June 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 50% – –
Public Policy Polling Jan 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 46% – 8%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12% 1%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michelle
Obama (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 50% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Oprah
Winfrey (D)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 2019 2,113 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 45% – 12%
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 38% 12% 2%

with Donald Trump and a person whose name was randomly chosen out of a phone book

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic individual Refused/no answer Undecided
Meredith College Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 42.7% 40.1% 1.1% 16.2%

with Donald Trump and Roy Cooper

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Roy
Cooper (D)		 Other Undecided
Meredith College Jan 21–25, 2018 621 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 11% 1%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Other Undecided
ALG Research/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 13] Jan 8–12, 2020 700 (LV) – 44% 48% – –
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[upper-alpha 13] Sep 16–17, 2019 628 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 50% – 3%
Elon University Feb 20 – Mar 7, 2019 914 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 48% 6%[lower-alpha 14] 9%[lower-alpha 77]

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
East Carolina University Oct 2–9, 2019 1,076 (RV) ± 3% 44% 51%[lower-alpha 78] 5%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		2,758,775 49.93% +0.10%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris		 2,684,292 48.59% +2.42%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen		 48,678 0.88% -1.86%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker		 12,195 0.22% -0.04%
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr		 7,549 0.14%
Write-in 13,315 0.24% -0.76%
Total votes 5,524,804 100.00%

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Joe Biden
Democratic		Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian		Other votes MarginTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #  % # % #
Alamance 53.50% 46,056 45.10% 38,825 0.80% 686 0.61% 524 8.40% 7,231 86,091
Alexander 78.51% 15,888 20.48% 4,145 0.63% 127 0.38% 76 58.03% 11,743 20,236
Alleghany 74.51% 4,527 24.46% 1,486 0.58% 35 0.46% 28 50.05% 3,041 6,076
Anson 47.53% 5,321 51.72% 5,789 0.37% 41 0.38% 43 -4.19% -468 11,194
Ashe 72.41% 11,451 26.33% 4,164 0.80% 126 0.46% 73 46.08% 7,287 15,814
Avery 75.83% 7,172 23.17% 2,191 0.59% 56 0.41% 39 52.66% 4,981 9,458
Beaufort 62.46% 16,437 36.61% 9,633 0.52% 137 0.41% 108 25.85% 6,804 26,315
Bertie 38.89% 3,817 60.51% 5,939 0.30% 29 0.31% 30 -21.62% -2,122 9,815
Bladen 56.50% 9,676 42.78% 7,326 0.40% 68 0.32% 55 13.72% 2,350 17,125
Brunswick 61.94% 55,850 36.94% 33,310 0.71% 642 0.41% 373 25.00% 22,540 90,175
Buncombe 38.63% 62,412 59.74% 96,515 0.90% 1,460 0.74% 1,182 -21.11% -36,103 161,569
Burke 69.55% 31,019 29.41% 13,118 0.61% 270 0.44% 195 40.14% 17,901 44,602
Cabarrus 53.94% 63,237 44.50% 52,162 0.93% 1,096 0.62% 732 9.44% 11,075 117,227
Caldwell 74.99% 32,119 23.92% 10,245 0.64% 273 0.45% 192 51.07% 21,874 42,829
Camden 72.43% 4,312 25.82% 1,537 1.28% 76 0.47% 28 46.61% 2,775 5,953
Carteret 70.33% 30,028 28.32% 12,093 0.87% 373 0.47% 201 42.01% 17,935 42,695
Caswell 58.82% 7,089 40.33% 4,860 0.53% 64 0.32% 38 18.49% 2,229 12,051
Catawba 67.83% 56,588 30.79% 25,689 0.78% 652 0.59% 496 37.04% 30,899 83,425
Chatham 43.59% 21,186 55.12% 26,787 0.75% 366 0.53% 260 -11.53% -5,601 48,599
Cherokee 76.89% 12,628 21.82% 3,583 0.58% 95 0.71% 117 55.07% 9,045 16,423
Chowan 57.44% 4,471 41.71% 3,247 0.60% 47 0.24% 19 15.73% 1,224 7,784
Clay 74.16% 5,112 24.65% 1,699 0.67% 46 0.52% 36 49.51% 3,413 6,893
Cleveland 65.87% 33,798 33.05% 16,955 0.64% 329 0.44% 226 32.82% 16,843 51,308
Columbus 63.65% 16,832 35.72% 9,446 0.33% 88 0.30% 80 27.93% 7,386 26,446
Craven 58.48% 31,032 39.85% 21,148 1.18% 626 0.49% 259 18.63% 9,884 53,065
Cumberland 40.80% 60,032 57.40% 84,469 1.12% 1,645 0.68% 1,004 -16.60% -24,437 147,150
Currituck 72.19% 11,657 25.98% 4,195 1.29% 209 0.53% 86 46.21% 7,462 16,147
Dare 57.52% 13,938 41.00% 9,936 0.92% 223 0.56% 135 16.52% 4,002 24,232
Davidson 73.05% 64,658 25.57% 22,636 0.79% 703 0.58% 517 47.48% 42,022 88,514
Davie 72.02% 18,228 26.52% 6,713 0.84% 213 0.62% 157 45.50% 11,515 25,311
Duplin 60.72% 13,793 38.60% 8,767 0.37% 84 0.31% 71 22.12% 5,026 22,715
Durham 18.04% 32,459 80.42% 144,688 0.84% 1,504 0.70% 1,263 -68.38% -112,229 179,914
Edgecombe 36.13% 9,206 63.15% 16,089 0.38% 97 0.33% 85 -27.02% -6,883 25,477
Forsyth 42.26% 85,064 56.16% 113,033 0.89% 1,785 0.69% 1,388 -13.90% -27,969 201,270
Franklin 55.96% 20,901 42.51% 15,879 0.89% 333 0.64% 238 13.45% 5,022 37,351
Gaston 63.23% 73,033 35.46% 40,959 0.79% 910 0.52% 596 27.77% 32,074 115,498
Gates 56.39% 3,367 42.64% 2,546 0.69% 41 0.28% 17 13.75% 821 5,971
Graham 79.53% 3,710 19.40% 905 0.56% 26 0.52% 24 60.13% 2,805 4,665
Granville 52.68% 16,647 46.09% 14,565 0.77% 244 0.45% 142 6.59% 2,082 31,598
Greene 55.68% 4,874 43.78% 3,832 0.30% 26 0.24% 21 11.90% 1,042 8,753
Guilford 37.72% 107,294 60.84% 173,086 0.78% 2,232 0.66% 1,874 -23.12% -65,792 284,486
Halifax 39.13% 10,080 60.35% 15,545 0.24% 62 0.28% 72 -21.22% -5,465 25,759
Harnett 60.35% 35,177 37.90% 22,093 1.21% 708 0.54% 315 22.45% 13,084 58,293
Haywood 62.49% 22,834 35.97% 13,144 0.91% 334 0.63% 230 26.52% 9,690 36,542
Henderson 58.55% 40,032 39.80% 27,211 0.98% 670 0.67% 458 18.75% 12,821 68,371
Hertford 32.72% 3,479 66.74% 7,097 0.26% 28 0.28% 30 -34.02% -3,618 10,634
Hoke 43.69% 9,453 54.55% 11,804 1.21% 262 0.55% 120 -10.86% -2,351 21,639
Hyde 56.90% 1,418 41.97% 1,046 0.68% 17 0.44% 11 14.93% 372 2,492
Iredell 65.46% 67,010 33.10% 33,888 0.89% 907 0.55% 566 32.36% 33,122 102,371
Jackson 53.00% 11,356 44.76% 9,591 1.20% 257 1.05% 224 8.24% 1,765 21,428
Johnston 61.38% 68,353 37.05% 41,257 1.05% 1,164 0.52% 583 24.33% 27,096 111,357
Jones 59.37% 3,280 39.76% 2,197 0.62% 34 0.25% 14 19.61% 1,083 5,525
Lee 56.77% 16,469 41.86% 12,143 0.81% 235 0.56% 161 14.91% 4,326 29,008
Lenoir 51.36% 14,590 47.89% 13,605 0.44% 126 0.31% 88 3.47% 985 28,409
Lincoln 72.37% 36,341 26.43% 13,274 0.74% 373 0.46% 229 45.94% 23,067 50,217
Macon 68.51% 14,211 30.03% 6,230 0.81% 169 0.65% 133 38.48% 7,981 20,743
Madison 61.02% 7,979 37.48% 4,901 0.79% 103 0.71% 93 23.54% 3,078 13,076
Martin 52.09% 6,532 47.14% 5,911 0.47% 59 0.30% 38 4.95% 621 12,540
McDowell 73.39% 16,883 25.35% 5,832 0.80% 184 0.45% 104 48.04% 11,051 23,003
Mecklenburg 31.60% 179,211 66.68% 378,107 0.96% 5,427 0.76% 4,308 -35.08% -198,896 567,053
Mitchell 78.42% 7,090 20.65% 1,867 0.52% 47 0.41% 37 57.77% 5,223 9,041
Montgomery 65.46% 8,411 33.68% 4,327 0.61% 78 0.26% 33 31.78% 4,084 12,849
Moore 63.02% 36,764 35.62% 20,779 0.89% 520 0.47% 276 27.40% 15,985 58,339
Nash 49.41% 25,827 49.64% 25,947 0.55% 287 0.40% 210 -0.23% -120 52,271
New Hanover 48.04% 63,331 50.17% 66,138 1.15% 1,521 0.63% 840 -2.13% -2,807 131,830
Northampton 39.46% 3,989 60.03% 6,069 0.30% 30 0.22% 22 -20.57% -2,080 10,110
Onslow 63.79% 46,078 33.59% 24,266 2.08% 1,506 0.53% 385 30.20% 21,812 72,235
Orange 23.74% 20,176 74.82% 63,594 0.77% 653 0.68% 574 -51.08% -43,418 84,997
Pamlico 63.54% 4,849 35.55% 2,713 0.58% 44 0.33% 25 27.99% 2,136 7,631
Pasquotank 49.10% 9,770 49.41% 9,832 0.81% 161 0.67% 134 -0.31% -62 19,897
Pender 64.26% 21,956 34.31% 11,723 0.96% 329 0.47% 161 29.95% 10,233 34,169
Perquimans 65.51% 4,903 33.30% 2,492 0.59% 44 0.60% 45 32.21% 2,411 7,484
Person 60.22% 13,184 38.66% 8,465 0.66% 144 0.46% 101 21.56% 4,719 21,894
Pitt 44.51% 38,982 53.96% 47,252 0.91% 796 0.62% 543 -9.45% -8,270 87,573
Polk 62.22% 7,689 36.56% 4,518 0.70% 86 0.53% 65 25.66% 3,171 12,358
Randolph 77.60% 56,894 21.30% 15,618 0.69% 506 0.41% 298 56.30% 41,276 73,316
Richmond 56.98% 11,830 42.16% 8,754 0.48% 99 0.39% 80 14.82% 3,076 20,763
Robeson 58.93% 27,806 40.31% 19,020 0.34% 161 0.43% 201 18.62% 8,786 47,188
Rockingham 65.47% 31,301 33.45% 15,992 0.65% 312 0.43% 204 32.02% 15,309 47,809
Rowan 67.15% 49,297 31.49% 23,114 0.79% 577 0.57% 420 35.66% 26,183 73,408
Rutherford 72.30% 24,891 26.53% 9,135 0.63% 218 0.54% 185 45.77% 15,756 34,429
Sampson 60.84% 17,411 38.32% 10,966 0.50% 143 0.34% 98 22.52% 6,445 28,618
Scotland 50.58% 7,473 48.64% 7,186 0.37% 54 0.42% 62 1.94% 287 14,775
Stanly 75.01% 25,458 23.95% 8,129 0.66% 225 0.37% 127 51.06% 17,329 33,939
Stokes 78.37% 20,144 20.57% 5,286 0.70% 180 0.36% 93 57.80% 14,858 25,703
Surry 75.16% 27,538 23.80% 8,721 0.64% 235 0.39% 144 51.36% 18,817 36,638
Swain 58.87% 4,161 39.33% 2,780 1.02% 72 0.78% 55 19.54% 1,381 7,068
Transylvania 57.03% 11,636 41.38% 8,444 0.88% 180 0.70% 144 15.65% 3,192 20,404
Tyrrell 57.46% 1,044 41.72% 758 0.44% 8 0.39% 7 15.74% 286 1,817
Union 61.36% 80,382 37.19% 48,725 0.87% 1,136 0.59% 768 24.17% 31,657 131,011
Vance 39.96% 8,391 59.20% 12,431 0.45% 94 0.40% 83 -19.24% -4,040 20,999
Wake 35.80% 226,197 62.25% 393,336 1.19% 7,514 0.76% 4,783 -26.45% -167,139 631,830
Warren 36.45% 3,752 62.18% 6,400 0.61% 63 0.76% 78 -25.73% -2,648 10,293
Washington 44.82% 2,781 54.73% 3,396 0.27% 17 0.18% 11 -9.91% -615 6,205
Watauga 44.85% 14,451 53.14% 17,122 1.20% 386 0.81% 261 -8.29% -2,671 32,220
Wayne 55.29% 30,709 43.60% 24,215 0.68% 378 0.42% 235 11.69% 6,494 55,537
Wilkes 77.80% 27,592 21.18% 7,511 0.60% 214 0.42% 149 56.62% 20,081 35,466
Wilson 48.07% 19,581 50.95% 20,754 0.60% 245 0.38% 155 -2.88% -1,173 40,735
Yadkin 79.97% 15,933 18.89% 3,763 0.66% 131 0.45% 96 61.08% 12,170 19,923
Yancey 66.21% 7,516 32.49% 3,688 0.72% 82 0.58% 66 33.72% 3,828 11,352

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Congressional District Results:

Trump won 8 of 13 congressional districts.[32]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 45.3% 53.9% G. K. Butterfield
2nd 34% 64.3% George Holding
Deborah K. Ross
3rd 60.9% 37.7% Greg Murphy
4th 32.2% 66.6% David Price
5th 67.4% 31.6% Virginia Foxx
6th 37.2% 61.6% Mark Walker
Kathy Manning
7th 58.1% 40.7% David Rouzer
8th 52.5% 46.1% Richard Hudson
9th 53.4% 45.5% Dan Bishop
10th 67.7% 31.2% Patrick McHenry
11th 55.4% 43.3% Madison Cawthorn
12th 28.5% 70.1% Alma Adams
13th 67.1% 31.8% Ted Budd

Analysis

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in North Carolina by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[33][34]
Demographic subgroup Biden Trump % of

total vote

Total vote 48.59 49.93 100
Ideology
Liberals 93 6 20
Moderates 66 32 39
Conservatives 9 90 40
Party
Democrats 97 3 34
Republicans 4 96 37
Independents 50 46 30
Gender
Men 45 54 44
Women 53 46 56
Race/ethnicity
White 33 66 65
Black 92 7 23
Latino 57 42 5
Asian – – 2
Other 56 40 5
Age
18–24 years old 55 43 8
25–29 years old 59 36 6
30–39 years old 57 43 14
40–49 years old 52 46 16
50–64 years old 46 53 31
65 and older 40 59 24
Sexual orientation
LGBT 76 22 5
Not LGBT 47 52 95
Education
High school or less 38 62 18
Some college education 43 56 27
Associate's degree 50 48 18
Bachelor's degree 55 44 22
Postgraduate degree 64 35 14
Income
Under $30,000 51 47 15
$30,000–49,999 54 44 22
$50,000–99,999 49 49 36
$100,000–199,999 47 52 22
Over $200,000 47 53 5
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 94 5 21
Coronavirus 84 15 14
Economy 16 82 35
Crime and safety 11 88 12
Health care 66 33 12
Region
East 45 54 23
Research Triangle 62 37 22
Charlotte Area 55 44 18
Piedmont/Central 44 54 20
West 36 62 17
Area type
Urban 69 29 33
Suburban 39 60 40
Rural 40 59 27
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago 17 82 45
Worse than four years ago 91 7 20
About the same 69 30 34

See also

Notes

General footnotes
    1. ↑ There were three states in which Biden won with under 50% of the vote – Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin.
    2. 1 2 3 Candidate withdrew during early voting, shortly before the date of the election.
    3. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
    4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Key:
      A – all adults
      RV – registered voters
      LV – likely voters
      V – unclear
    5. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
    6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Standard VI response
    7. ↑ "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
    8. 1 2 3 4 If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
    9. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
    10. ↑ Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
    11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Some other candidate" with 2%
    12. ↑ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
    13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
    14. 1 2 "Someone else" with 6%
    15. ↑ "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
    16. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
    17. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; did/would not vote and "Refused" with 0%
    18. 1 2 No voters
    19. ↑ Blankenship (C) with 2%
    20. 1 2 "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
    21. 1 2 3 4 Includes "Refused"
    22. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
    23. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
    24. 1 2 3 "Another candidate" with 3%
    25. 1 2 Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
    26. 1 2 Results generated with high Republican turnout model
    27. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
    28. ↑ Blankenship (C) with no voters
    29. ↑ "Other third party" with 2%
    30. ↑ "Someone else" with 0.6%; Blankenship (C) with 0.2%
    31. 1 2 Blankenship (C) with 0%
    32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
    33. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 1%; did/would not vote and "Refused" with 0%
    34. 1 2 "Other", "None of these" and would not vote with 0%
    35. ↑ If only Biden and Trump were candidates
    36. 1 2 "Someone else" with 2%
    37. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
    38. ↑ Blankenship (C), "No one" and "Other candidate" with no voters
    39. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
    40. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
    41. ↑ "Refused" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
    42. 1 2 "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
    43. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
    44. 1 2 3 "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
    45. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
    46. ↑ "Another candidate" with 0%
    47. ↑ With only Biden, Trump and "another candidate" as options
    48. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
    49. 1 2 Blankenship (C) with 1%
    50. ↑ "Refused" with 1.4%; "Other" with 0.4%; Blankenship (C) with no voters
    51. ↑ "None of these" and "Other" with 0%; Blankenship (C) with no voters
    52. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%; "refused" with 0%
    53. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; Blankenship (C) with 0.5%
    54. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
    55. ↑ Would not vote with 1%
    56. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
    57. ↑ "Other/not sure" with 4%
    58. ↑ "No one" with 1%; Blankenship and "Other candidate" with <1%
    59. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
    60. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
    61. ↑ Blankenship (C) and "Other" with 0%
    62. ↑ Blankenship (C) and would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%
    63. ↑ "Other candidate" with 3%
    64. ↑ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
    65. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
    66. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
    67. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 7%
    68. ↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
    69. ↑ "Another candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
    70. ↑ "Third party/write-in" with 3%
    71. ↑ "Other candidate" with 7%
    72. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
    73. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
    74. 1 2 3 4 5 The poll does not have a separate listing for this entry, which is instead added into the 'Other' grouping.
    75. ↑ Refused/no answer with 0.2%
    76. 1 2 3 4 Refused/no answer with 0.1%
    77. ↑ "Other/it depends" with 6%; "Don't know" with 3%
    78. ↑ "It is time for someone else to be President" with 51% as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected if he is the Republican nominee"
    Partisan clients
    1. ↑ Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
    2. 1 2 3 The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
    3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
    4. ↑ Piedmont Rising is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
    5. ↑ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
    6. ↑ The founder of this poll's sponsor had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
    7. ↑ This poll’s sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
    8. ↑ AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
    9. ↑ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
    10. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
    11. ↑ Poll sponsored by the North Carolina Republican Party
    12. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Civitas Institute, a conservative think tank
    13. 1 2 Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, a group that has exclusively endorsed Democrats

    References

    1. ↑ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    2. ↑ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    3. ↑ "North Carolina Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 11, 2020.
    4. ↑ Silver, Nate (August 12, 2020). "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 21, 2021.
    5. ↑ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (July 18, 2017). "Can Roy Cooper Show Democrats How to Win Again?". Politico. Retrieved August 28, 2017.
    6. ↑ Moody, Aaron; Specht, Paul A. (March 29, 2018). "Roy Cooper for president? 'I'm sure I'll get some calls.'". The News & Observer. Retrieved July 5, 2018.
    7. ↑ "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
    8. ↑ "Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. August 17, 2020. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
    9. ↑ News and Observer
    10. ↑ WRAL.com
    11. ↑ "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
    12. ↑ "North Carolina Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
    13. ↑ "LOCAL ELECTIONS". ABC 11. March 3, 2020. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
    14. 1 2 "N.C. Board of Elections Approves 2020 Presidential Primary Ballots". Spectrum News. December 20, 2019. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
    15. ↑ "PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE - GRE (VOTE FOR 1)". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
    16. ↑ "PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE - CST (VOTE FOR 1)". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved March 4, 2020.
    17. ↑ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
    18. ↑ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
    19. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
    20. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
    21. ↑ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
    22. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
    23. ↑ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
    24. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
    25. ↑ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
    26. ↑ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
    27. ↑ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
    28. ↑ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
    29. ↑ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
    30. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". fivethirtyeight.com. August 12, 2020. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
    31. ↑ "November 03, 2020 General Election Results by Contest" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections.
    32. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2012, 2016 & 2020 presidential election results for congressional districts used in 2020 elections". www.dailykos.com.
    33. ↑ "North Carolina 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
    34. ↑ "North Carolina Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

    Further reading

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